QUESTION: Marty, January posted the largest January job loss numbers since the Great Recession of 108,435, which was a 118% increase from a year earlier. This seems to be in line with Socrates’ going into February where it projected a rise in volatility there as well and a Directional Change. Plus, consumer confidence started declining during 2025. The decline has been ongoing for most of 2025, with January 2026 representing a particularly sharp drop that continued an existing downward trend. Your model forecast a recessionary trend into 2028 years in advance. Will society ever look are your work and cycles?
GD
ANSWER: I don’t think the West will wake up until after 2032. Then, hopefully, they will review all the forecasts for there are so many and see that there is something to this. The critical resistance on unemployment remains at 6.6% Exceed that on an annual closing, and you will see a very serious rise.
Amazon is showing weakness on both on the macro and business-cycle perspectives. The combination of weakening consumer demand, mainly in the lower- to mid-income tiers, and pricing pressures from shortages and to some extent from tariffs, are key factors to keep in mind. We are also in the middle of a Schumpeter Wave of Creative-Destruction into August 2028. This is confusing and will have impacts on the market to create false moves with high validity.