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    Home»Sports»Ranking March Madness No. 12 vs. No. 5 games by likelihood of an upset
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    Ranking March Madness No. 12 vs. No. 5 games by likelihood of an upset

    Team_Benjamin Franklin InstituteBy Team_Benjamin Franklin InstituteMarch 17, 2026No Comments1 Min Read
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    The NCAA Tournament is here. With that, it’s time to let March Madness and the upsets begin.

    One of the most common upsets every season ends up being a 12-seed beating a five-seed. In fact, going into this year’s tournament, there have been 57 upsets since the tournament expanded in 1985. That’s good for a 57-103 record during that time for the 12 seeds. In fact, in the last six NCAA Tournaments, only one didn’t have a 12-seed win at all. Four had multiple 12-seed wins.

    So, the odds are that at least one of these games goes to the underdog. Before things tip off, here’s a look at which of those matchups are most likely to end in an upset.





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